Dan’s NFL Predictions — Super Bowl XLVI
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend (now fiancee!), Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Both Championship games came down to the wire and ended poorly for the Harbaugh family. If you’re into rematches and rivalries, you’re in for a treat!
NYG (12-7) @ NE (15-3) Sun. 2/5 1:20 p.m.
The rematch is set. Four years ago the Giants shocked the world and beat the then 18-0 Patriots in one of the greatest Super Bowls ever. New England hasn’t had quite as epic a year this go around but they were still the best team in the AFC and again have a vaunted passing attack. In the divisional round against the Broncos Tom Brady looked as good as he ever has throwing for six touchdowns (five in the first half!). The AFC Championship game showed the vulnerable side of Brady as he was held without a touchdown pass though did have a clutch touchdown jump against the stellar Ravens D. New York once again has assumed the title “road warriors”. They beat the Cowboys in the winner-take-all week 17 game, trounced Atlanta and Green Bay (last year’s #1 seed and this year’s #1 seed) in the first two rounds of the playoffs then won a nail-biter of an overtime game over the 49ers in the NFC Championship to make it to the Super Bowl. Now the question remains, will history repeat itself? The similarities are scarily obvious. Can the Pats repel the Giants pass rush? Can the Giants stop the Brady-led air assault? As I’ve stated in recent weeks, nobody is playing “scarier” than the Giants right now, but how often do you see the Patriots put up back to back poor offensive games? The playoffs so far have been an amazing combination of upsets and great games, the Super Bowl has all the potential in the world to be both, either, or neither. As much as it irks my fiancee and friends back in NJ, I have to think that Gronk will be fine come kickoff, Brady will have restored confidence (not to mention a chip on his shoulder four years in the making) and the Patriots will bring their fourth Lombardi Trophy back to New England.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
Dan’s NFL Predictions — Championship Round
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend (now fiancee!), Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Upset was the word of the week in the NFC in the divisional round. The 49ers-Saints game was one for the ages while the Packers knelt down and lifted the game up to the Giants like an offering. The AFC divisional round went a little more as planned. The Ravens won a defensive battle and the Patriots scored on what seemed like every series in their trouncing of the Broncos. Last week I was 2-2 in my picks. Here are your championship round matchups and my picks for each game.
Bal (13-4) @ NE (14-3) Sun. 1/22 10:00 a.m.
This is the Saints-49ers matchup of the AFC. New England put on a clinic against the more than overmatched Broncos last weekend up in Foxboro. Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski each had record games and aside from a nicked up O-line, their offense is firing on all cylinders right now. The Ravens capitalized on three interceptions in their win over the Texans but (not to be insultingly obvious), Tom Brady has a little more playoff experience and poise than does T.J. Yates. Baltimore needs to quickly establish their excellent run game with Ray Rice and Ricky Williams and keep Brady and that New England offense off the field as much as possible. If the Ravens can come up with a few turnovers then I like their chances. If not, I don’t.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
NYG (11-7) @ SF (14-3) Sun. 1/22 1:30 p.m.
I feel bad for both Eli Manning and Alex Smith in this one. The pass rushing attack of both these teams is vicious and relentless. San Francisco came out on top of one of the best football games I’ve seen since the Giants-Pats Super Bowl from the 2007 season. Alex Smith was calm and collected and shut up scores of doubters with the way he handled himself and his team in that fourth quarter win over the Saints. The G-men played a flawless game in the frozen tundra in their win over the Packers. Eli played well, the defense played great and the Packers played like a Pop Warner team. Its hard to describe, but no team is playing “scarier” than the Giants right now.
Dan’s Pick: Giants
Dan’s NFL Predictions — Divisional Round
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend (now fiancee!), Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
The Lions-Saints matchup lived up to the hype, Tim Tebow found his old ways (we could say he was “born again”!), the Giants front four wreaked havoc, and the Texans fulfilled the old adage that defense and rushing wins games. Last week I was 2-2 in my picks. Here are your divisional round matchups and my picks for each game.
NO (14-3) @ SF (13-3) Sat. 1/14 11:30 a.m.
The Saints haven’t lost a game since their week 8 head-scratcher to the Rams. I’m not sure if I’ve ever seen an offense “click” as well as New Orleans the past four games (177 points over that span), aside from maybe the ‘07 Patriots or the ‘99 Rams. The 49ers boast one of the best defenses in the league and rely on that to keep themselves in games. Will the San Fran D be able to keep the New Orleans O in check? I don’t see it happening.
Dan’s Pick: Saints
Den (9-8) @ NE (13-3) Sat. 1/14 3:00 p.m.
Can Tim Tebow do it again?! The Broncos shocked the world on Sunday thanks to a few big plays from the Tebow-Thomas connection. Most folks however, can see that they caught the banged-up Steelers at just the right time. The Patriots are the #1 seed for a reason. Their offense is a well oiled machine which has scored 30 or more points in twelve games this season. Can Tim Tebow do it again? I don’t think so.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
Hou (11-6) @ Bal (12-4) Sun. 1/15 8:00 a.m.
As far as well-rounded running backs go, you’d be hard pressed to find many better than Ray Rice and Arian Foster. They can each pound the ball inside, bounce it outside and were #1 and #3 respectively in total yards from scrimmage this season. The Texans and Ravens also boast the #2 and #3 ranked defenses in the NFL, each giving up less than 300 yards per game. This game should come down to quarterback play and despite how inconsistent Joe Flacco is, I still like him over T.J. Yates.
Dan’s Pick: Ravens
NYG (10-7) @ GB (15-1) Sun. 1/15 11:30 a.m.
The G-men absolutely embarrassed the Falcons last week in a blowout win. Their defense didn’t allow a point and their run game had a resurgence of sorts. Eli Manning is playing at an elite level right now. Green Bay earned the #1 seed a few weeks ago and almost had an undefeated regular season. Aaron Rodgers set a whole bunch of records with his immaculate season. He sometimes doesn’t look like a human, but a quarterback machine. Which Giants team will show up Sunday? The one who beat the Patriots or the one who lost to the Redskins (twice!)?
Dans Pick: Packers
Dan’s NFL Predictions — Wild Card Round
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend (now fiancee!), Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
At long last the playoffs are upon us! I have had a big smile on my face in anticipation of the postseason for a few weeks now and needless to say, am very excited. Last week I was 11-5 in my picks. Here are your Wild Card Week matchups and my picks for each game.
Cin (9-7) @ Hou (10-6) Sat. 1/7 11:30 a.m.
The Bengals had seven losses this season, all of them came against playoff teams. Their nine wins you ask? You guessed it, zero against playoff teams. Since Matt Schaub went down for the season in week 10 the Texans have had trouble putting up points, scoring more than 20 in a game only once. Both teams lost in week 17 and Houston has lost its last three (including to Indy ha!), and have looked mediocre at best since locking up the #3 seed. As far as the playoffs are concerned, since neither team is experienced, I like the youthful play and the mature-beyond-his-years quarterbacking of Andy Dalton and his Bengals.
Dan’s Pick: Bengals
Det (10-6) @ NO (13-3) Sat. 1/7 3:00 p.m.
The NFL playoffs occasionally has first round games that aren’t hyped up too much. These games often feature some mediocre team that fell bass-ackwards into the playoffs through a tie-breaker with another boring team. This game…is not one of those. These two squads combined for 1192 net yards and 86 points in their week 17 games. Drew Brees is one of the great passers in history and Matt Stafford finally stayed healthy and showed why the Lions picked him #1 overall in 2009. Both offenses are prolific and both defenses give up a lot of yards, but the Saints just don’t lose at home. Unless the over/under is 95, bet the over!
Dan’s Pick: Saints
Atl (10-6) @ NYG (9-7) Sun. 1/8 8:00 a.m.
Sunday night’s Giants-Cowboys matchup was really the first playoff game of the season. Eli Manning and the G-men really stepped up and played a quality game against rival Dallas. The Falcons have yet to win a playoff game in the Matt Ryan era and are looking to silence the critics (I’m one of them) who say they’re not a clutch team. The New York front four is the scariest in the league and proved it Sunday by sacking Tony Romo six times. If the Atlanta o-line can keep Matt Ryan upright their offense can put up points in bunches. The Giants have been playing well of late and their wide receivers have stopped blatantly dropping the ball. These are both well-rounded teams but New York has the experience and I think a better defense.
Dan’s Pick: Giants
Pit (12-4) @ Den (8-8) Sun. 1/8 11:30 a.m.
Molokai will be torn in two this Sunday as the #5 seed Steelers face the #4 seed Broncos in Denver. Tim Tebow will need his miracle touch to stay in one piece against the vaunted Pittsburgh defense. Big Ben is a little banged up and Rashard Mendenhall is out for the year but the Steelers still remain a huge force in the AFC. The Broncos have scored 53 total points in their last four games (of which they’ve lost three). Needless to say they’re having trouble scoring. The Denver defense will need to step up and take advantage of the fact that Pittsburgh’s offense is nowhere near 100%. If the Steelers can put up even 17 points I’m saying lock it up.
Dans Pick: Steelers
Dan’s NFL Predictions — Week 17
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend (now fiancee!), Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Last week I was 12-4 in my picks. Here are your week 17 NFL matchups and my picks for each game.
Was (5-10) @ Phi (7-8) Sun. 1/1 8:00 a.m.
The Dream Team started the season horribly and lost out on the playoffs as a result. They’ve won three games in a row now and a fourth would get them up to even in the wins and losses category. This season has had the Skins giving all or nothing as evidenced by them beating the Giants twice but losing to the Vikings, Panthers, Bills and Dolphins. The Eagles want to salvage any respect then can.
Dan’s Pick: Eagles
Car (6-9) @ NO (12-3) Sun. 1/1 8:00 a.m.
Who Dat indeed! Drew Brees broke the single season passing record in only 15 games. The Saints looked about as unstoppable as a team can look Monday in their 45-16 win over the Falcons. Carolina looks to spoil the Saints’ chances of nabbing the #2 seed in the NFC. They’ve won four of their last five with young Cam Newton looking more and more impressive every week.
Dan’s Pick: Saints
NYJ (8-7) @ Mia (5-10) Sun. 1/1 8:00 a.m.
In order for Gang Green to make the post season, they need to win, they need Cincy and Tennessee to both lose, and either Oakland or Denver to lose. It is not impossible for them to make it but they need everything to go their way. Miami has had some great games and some pretty sad ones. Star offensive tackle Jake Long will be out for the Dolphins so their rejuvenated run game might take a hit.
Dans Pick: Jets
Det (10-5) @ GB (14-1) Sun. 1/1 8:00 a.m.
Behind Aaron Rodgers’ five touchdown passes, Green Bay locked up the #1 seed in the NFC with their Christmas win over the Bears. Detroit clinched a playoff berth for the first time since 1999 with a big win over the Chargers last week. The Lions currently have the #5 seed and are slated to play either the Cowboys or Giants in the wildcard round. If they drop to the #6 seed then they’ll probably have to face the Saints in the first round (which nobody wants to do).
Dan’s Pick: Packers
Chi (7-8) @ Min (3-11) Sun. 1/1 8:00 a.m.
No Jay Cutler or Matt Forte. No Christian Ponder or Adrian Peterson. This game doesn’t quite have the same oomph it would have before all the major injuries for both teams. Minnesota is coming off a nice win over the Redskins. Josh McCown started his first game since 2007 against the Packers and played like it. Neither of these teams is playing for anything here but Joe Webb looked really good filling in at quarterback for the Vikes.
Dan’s Pick: Vikings
Ten (8-7) @ Hou (10-5) Sun. 1/1 8:00 a.m.
Beating the Texans doesn’t seem to be as tough a task now as it was the first half of the season. Tennessee needs a lot of help to make the postseason but its not impossible. Houston is a lock for the #3 seed so this game literally means nothing to them. Wade Phillips is back from surgery this week to coordinate the defense that underperformed in his absense. The Texans want to get back to their winning ways before the playoffs start.
Dan’s Pick: Texans
Ind (2-13) @ Jac (4-11) Sun. 1/1 8:00 a.m.
The only meaning this game could possibly have is if the Colts happen to win and the Rams lose and the latter would end up with the first overall pick in the draft next season. Just about the only bright spot for either team in this game has been MJD who will probably win the NFL rushing title. Both of these teams have been terrible from the get-go and its not a surprise they have a combined six wins. I’ll go with the home team.
Dan’s Pick: Jaguars
SF (12-3) @ StL (2-13) Sun. 1/1 8:00 a.m.
San Fran is currently the #2 seed and can lock it up here with what should be an easy win. However, if they slip up (think GB at KC), they could slip to the #3 seed and miss out on the first round bye. The Rams will most likely end up with either the first or second pick in the upcoming draft. This game and the Colts game will decide which. I don’t see St. Louis upsetting the Niners here…though they did beat the Saints this year!
Dan’s Pick: 49ers
Buf (6-9) @ NE (12-3) Sun. 1/1 8:00 a.m.
A win for the Patriots will shore up homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. Buffalo got their first win since week 8 on Saturday over the Broncos but their season is beyond lost. The Bills did have New England’s number in week 3 as they picked off Tom Brady four times. That game seems like it was played a hundred years ago however. The Pats have won seven in a row and I doubt this lightning will strike twice in one season.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
Pit (11-4) @ Cle (4-11) Sun. 1/1 11:15 a.m.
Pittsburgh rebounded nicely from their lackluster week 15 loss to San Fran with a 27-0 shutout of the Rams. They already have a playoff spot locked but there’s still a chance at the #2 seed (if they win and Ravens lose) or even the #1 seed (if they win and Ravens & Patriots lose). More than likely they’ll take the #5 seed and face either Denver or Oakland in the first round of the playoffs. My take on the Browns? They stink.
Dan’s Pick: Steelers
KC (6-9) @ Den (8-7) Sun. 1/1 11:15 a.m.
All Denver fans want for their new year presents is another Tebow miracle. A win here would vault the Cindarella Broncos to the AFC West crown and most importantly into the playoffs. Kyle Orton would love nothing more than to stick it to Denver and their fans after they called for his ousting. Kansas City has played some resilient games this season. These are two good defenses facing off but I’ll go with the miracle worker!
Dan’s Pick: Broncos
Bal (11-4) @ Cin (9-6) Sun. 1/1 11:15 a.m.
This is certainly one of the more intriguing games this week. The Ravens can clinch the division and the #2 seed (and #1 seed with a Patriots loss) with a win. Cincy can clinch a wildcard spot with a win. Both teams are playing for something which is rare in week 17. Baltimore wants that first round bye and their veteran team knows just how important that can be.
Dan’s Pick: Ravens
Sea (7-8) @ Ari (7-8) Sun. 1/1 11:15 a.m.
Marshawn Lynch ran for a touchdown last week! Why is that surprising you ask? It was his 12th rushing touchdown of the season but it was the first rushing touchdown allowed by San Fran all season as well. The Seahawks almost pulled out a season-saving upset against the 49ers but fell just short. Arizona had its modest four game winning streak snapped by Cincy last week. Both teams are out but I’ll go with the quality run game.
Dan’s Pick: Seahawks
TB (4-11) @ Atl (9-6) Sun. 1/1 11:15 a.m.
Atlanta looked like boys playing the men of New Orleans on Monday. Tampa Bay started the season 4-2 including wins over the Falcons and the Saints. Since then however, they’ve lost nine games straight and have looked horrible in the process. The Falcons already have a playoff spot locked up but would like to move from the #6 seed to the #5 seed which they’ll need some help with but is still possible.
Dan’s Pick: Falcons
SD (7-8) @ Oak (8-7) Sun. 1/1 11:15 a.m.
The Bolts got themselves eliminated from playoff contention with the 38-10 shellacking they took in Detroit on Saturday. Now all they can do is play spoiler. Da Raiders snapped their three game losing streak against the Chiefs while also keeping their playoff chances alive. If Oakland wins and Denver loses, the Raiders are in. It will probably come down to whether Pro Bowler (???) Phillip Rivers has a good game or a bad one.
Dan’s Pick: Chargers
Dal (8-7) @ NYG (8-7) Sun. 1/1 3:20 p.m.
Talk about saving the best for last! This is the way every NFL season should end. This is essentially a playoff game for both these teams with the winner moving on to the postseason and the loser not. The health of Tony Romo’s right hand will be the biggest concern for the Cowboys going into this one. Big Blue’s front four (probably the best in the game) will be looking to relentlessly put Romo on his back. If the G-men receivers can hold onto the ball, Easy E should be able to lead them to the playoffs.
Dan’s Pick: Giants
Dan’s NFL Predictions — Week 16
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend (now fiancee!), Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Last week there were some crazy upsets as I was 8-8 in my picks. Here are your week 16 NFL matchups and my picks for each game.
Hou (10-4) @ Ind (1-13) Thu. 12/22 3:20 p.m.
As nice as it must feel for Indy fans to get their first win of the season, it didn’t really prove anything. They’re still the worst team in the league. Houston needs a bounceback here as it vies for the #2 seed (I don’t see anyone taking the #1 seed from the Pats) and a first round bye. I don’t see the Texans stumbling AND the Colts pulling one out of you-know-where two weeks in a row!
Dan’s Pick: Texans
Mia (5-9) @ NE (11-3) Sat. 12/24 8:00 a.m.
The Pats find themselves abruptly in sole possession of the #1 seed in the AFC. They put up 41 points on a very good Denver defense last week as they ended Tim Tebow’s string of miracles. Reggie Bush had himself a day carrying the ball 25 times for a career high 203 yards last week against Buffalo. The ‘Phins have been playing much, much better the second half of the season but stopping New England looks just about impossible at this point.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
Jac (4-10) @ Ten (7-7) Sat. 12/24 8:00 a.m.
Talk about embarrassing! Tennessee dropped one to the previously winless Colts with an altogether ugly performance Sunday. Chris Johnson couldn’t get himself going and the Tennessee offense suffered as a result. Jacksonville had themselves a tough game against Atlanta last Thursday but should be well rested for this one. The Titans are in a must-win situation here and back to back tragic losses would end their season.
Dans Pick: Titans
TB (4-10) @ Car (5-9) Sat. 12/24 8:00 a.m.
During their current eight game losing streak, the Bucs have scored 20 or more points once. The fewest points they’ve given up over that span is 23. Having both the offense and defense under-produce is not exactly the best formula for winning. The Panthers have stepped it up after a horrible start to their season. Three weeks ago Carolina dismantled Tampa Bay 38-19. Don’t expect anything much different.
Dan’s Pick: Panthers
Cle (4-10) @ Bal (10-4) Sat. 12/24 8:00 a.m.
This season the Ravens have lost to: the Chargers, Seahawks, Jaguars and Titans. So we know they’re capable of losing to just about anybody in any game. Cleveland is 1-7 in their last eight games as their team has fallen to shambles. Three weeks ago these teams faced off and Ray Rice rushed for 204 yards. The Browns pass defense is among the best in the league (3rd) but their rush defense is almost the worst (31st).
Dan’s Pick: Ravens
Ari (7-7) @ Cin (8-6) Sat. 12/24 8:00 a.m.
Currently riding a four game win streak, Arizona still finds themselves with a hope and a prayer for the playoffs. Cincy is tied with the Jets for the last wild card but doesn’t have the tiebreaker. If the Cards even want a shot at the playoffs, they absolutely can not lose this game. The Bengals have a much better chance for the post season but a loss here would lower their chances considerably. I like the rookie-to-rookie connection of Dalton-Green.
Dan’s Pick: Bengals
Min (2-12) @ Was (5-9) Sat. 12/24 8:00 a.m.
There seems to be one game each week that absolutely no one cares about. This would be that game. Adrian Peterson is always a threat to have a big game but he’s just about all Minnesota has. Washington had a solid game playing spoiler in their win over the Giants last week. I’ll go with the Skins because they’re home and their previous game was better.
Dan’s Pick: Redskins
Den (8-6) @ Buf (5-9) Sat. 12/24 8:00 a.m.
Everyone will be watching to see if Tim Tebow can get back on the train he (and all of Broncos nation with him) had been riding before last week. Losing to the Patriots is nothing to be ashamed of but the stellar Denver defense giving up 41 is a bit concerning. Buffalo will try prevent their losing streak from reaching eight in a row but I don’t think it will. The Broncos have control of their own destiny and they want that AFC West crown.
Dan’s Pick: Broncos
StL (2-12) @ Pit (10-4) Sat. 12/24 8:00 a.m.
Monday’s game was a real wake up call for Pittsburgh. Yes they lost to a good team but they didn’t just lose, they forgot to show up for the game. A win would’ve put them in line for the division crown and a first round bye in the playoffs. Those things are still possible if they win out and get some help. St. Louis stinks and shouldn’t pose a problem for the Steelers to right their ship and get back on track.
Dan’s Pick: Steelers
Oak (7-7) @ KC (6-8) Sat. 12/24 8:00 a.m.
These two teams took steps in the opposite direction last week. Kansas City used a relentless defense to shock the world and end Green Bay’s perfect season. As a result they still actually have a chance for the division crown. Oakland lost a dramatic one to Detroit on Sunday and squandered a chance to share the division lead. I’ll go with the better run game and the better quarterback.
Dan’s Pick: Raiders
NYG (7-7) @ NYJ (8-6) Sun. Sat. 12/24 8:00 a.m.
If you’re going to watch one game this week, watch this one. Not only are both teams in the midst of making the postseason, this is for bragging rights in the Big Apple. The Giants came out and pretty much handed the game away to the Redskins last week. The Jets got trounced by the Eagles by giving an uncharacteristically bad defensive showing. If the Giants’ receivers can hold onto the ball, Easy Eli should take this one down.
Dan’s Pick: Giants
SD (7-7) @ Det (9-5) Sat. 12/24 11:05 a.m.
Late game heroics and an opportune defensive play won the game for the Lions over the Raiders last week. Phillip Rivers and company didn’t let the aura of the Baltimore defense get to them as San Diego won handily Sunday night. The Chargers are right in the middle of the most intriguing division race in the league. Detroit can lock up a playoff spot with a win here. Megatron+Suh back+at home=I like the Lions in this one.
Dan’s Pick: Lions
Phi (6-8) @ Dal (8-6) Sat. 12/24 11:15 a.m.
Philly dropped 45 points on arguably the best defense in the league last week. LeSean McCoy rushed for three touchdowns and the Eagles capitalized on four Jets turnovers in the win. Dallas went out last week and did what they were supposed to do, beat the Bucs. The stacked Cowboys receiving corps is finally healthy which makes Tony Romo that much more dangerous.
Dan’s Pick: Cowboys
SF (11-3) @ Sea (7-7) Sat. 12/24 11:15 a.m.
The Niners’ defense looked impenetrable on Monday in their statement win over the Steelers. Seattle has been hot lately and still has a slim chance at the playoffs. The recent strength of the Seahawks offense is their run game, San Francisco has given up exactly ZERO rushing touchdowns all season and are ranked #1 against the run, allowing just over 70 yards a game.
Dan’s Pick: 49ers
Chi (7-7) @ GB (13-1) Sun. 12/25 3:20 p.m.
A loss by the 49ers or a win here will clinch the #1 seed for the Packers in the NFC. Chicago just isn’t the same team without Jay Cutler and Matt Forte. Green Bay had their perfect season ended last week with a weak showing against the Chiefs but the Bears are losers of four straight and are not playing at a high level. Look for the Pack to get back to their winning ways.
Dan’s Pick: Packers
Atl (9-5) @ NO (11-3) Mon. 12/26 3:30 p.m.
Another exciting matchup saved for Monday night here. New Orleans is battling for a first round bye in the playoffs while Atlanta needs just one more win to secure themselves a playoff spot. The Saints offense has looked unstoppable of late and Drew Brees is only a few long tosses away from owning the single season passing record. Atlanta will be well rested and coming off a solid win but beating the Saints is a bit tougher than beating the Jags.
Dan’s Pick: Saints
Dan’s NFL Predictions — Week 15
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend (now fiancee!), Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Last week I was 13-3 in my picks. Here are your week 15 NFL matchups and my picks for each game.
Jac (4-9) @ Atl (8-5) Thu. 12/15 3:20 p.m.
The Jaguars hadn’t scored more than 20 points in any game this season until they dropped 41 on the Bucs last week. MJD scored four touchdowns and their defense forced seven turnovers. The Falcons were down 16 at halftime but scored 24 unanswered second half points in a good win over Carolina on Sunday. One explosive game due to an undisciplined opponent has not convinced me that Jacksonville is any good.
Dan’s Pick: Falcons
Dal (7-6) @ TB (4-9) Sat. 12/17 8:20 p.m.
As mentioned above, the Bucs turned the ball over seven times in an ugly loss to the Jags. Ironically it was their seventh loss in a row. Maybe they’ll turn it over eight times in this one! Dallas lost a tough one to the division rival Giants Sunday night and lost sole possession of first place in the process. Their defense will look to take advantage of the Tampa Bay offense that fumbled the ball six times last week.
Dan’s Pick: Cowboys
Cin (7-6) @ StL (2-11) Sun. 12/18 8:00 a.m.
It’s a wonder how the Rams ever won two games. They might not win any more as they finish the season off with the Bengals, Steelers and 49ers. Cincinnati is chasing the Jets for the last wildcard spot in the AFC. If they want any kind of shot to make the playoffs, Andy Dalton and company needs this game.
Dans Pick: Bengals
Was (4-9) @ NYG (7-6) Sun. 12/18 8:00 a.m.
The G-men are right in the thick of the playoff race as they are tied for the division lead with the Cowboys and only one game behind both wild card teams. Losing this game would put a serious damper on their season. Two weeks ago the Skins got beat up at home against these same Giants. Now they go on the road, I don’t like their chances.
Dan’s Pick: Giants
Ten (7-6) @ Ind (0-13) Sun. 12/18 8:00 a.m.
Jake Locker almost led the Titans to an exciting comeback against the Saints last week but fell one play short. Chris Johnson had one of his “down” games in what has been the epitome of an “up & down” season. The Colts rank 30th in rush defense though so Johnson could eclipse the 1,000 yard mark in this game. If Indy wants Andrew Luck in the draft next year, he’s theirs for the taking.
Dan’s Pick: Titans
Sea (6-7) @ Chi (7-6) Sun. 12/18 8:00 a.m.
The Bears sorely miss Jay Cutler. Chicago has lost three straight since Cutler went down and are watching their playoff chances dwindle. Seattle has won two games in a row by 17 points find themselves two games behind the NFC wild card leaders. One team is hot and the other is cold but I’ll take a veteran defense over an inexperienced offense any day of the week (including Sunday!).
Dan’s Pick: Bears
GB (13-0) @ KC (5-8) Sun. 12/18 8:00 a.m.
Romeo Crennel has officially benched Tyler Palko from the starting quarterback job. If his finger is up for it Kyle Orton will start for the Chiefs. Green Bay picked off Orton three times in week 4 when he was the starter for Denver. The Packers want to lock up the #1 seed in the NFC and a win here would do that. Despite losing Greg Jennings for the rest of the regular season, I don’t see the Packer offense slowing too much.
Dan’s Pick: Packers
Car (4-9) @ Hou (10-3) Sun. 12/18 8:00 a.m.
Despite the onslaught of injuries over the past few weeks, the Texans keep winning. With the division locked up, Houston looks to use their stifling defense to contain the high powered Carolina offense and maintain the #1 seed in the AFC. The Panthers blew a big halftime lead last week against Atlanta. Their defense has been their downfall all season.
Dan’s Pick: Texans
Mia (4-9) @ Buf (5-8) Sun. 12/18 8:00 a.m.
It’s hard to imagine that the Bills were 5-2 at one point this season. Six losses in a row will do that to an NFL team. J.P. Losman might be taking snaps for the ‘Phins as Matt Moore suffered a head injury last week. Reggie Bush has rushed for at least 100 yards in each of the last two games and seems to be relishing the “feature back” role he’s earned in Miami.
Dan’s Pick: Dolphins
NO (10-3) @ Min (2-11) Sun. 12/18 8:00 a.m.
A win for the Saints would clinch the division for them and with the 49ers playing the Steelers, maybe a chance to claim the #2 seed in the NFC. Adrian Peterson and Christian Ponder should both be good to go for the game Sunday but their mediocre defense will have more than their hands full with the high flying New Orleans offense.
Dan’s Pick: Saints
Det (8-5) @ Oak (7-6) Sun. 12/18 11:05 a.m.
Both of these teams are in desperate need of a turn around. Unlike the Lions however, the Raiders need some help to make it to the playoffs. Oakland finds themselves one game behind both the division lead and the last wild card in the conference. Detroit will have the services of All Pro DT Ndamukong Suh back after his two game suspension, which should help bolster their defense that gave up 59 points over the two games without him.
Dan’s Pick: Lions
Cle (4-9) @ Ari (6-7) Sun. 12/18 11:15 a.m.
The Cardinals find themselves the winners of three in a row including wins over Dallas and San Fransisco. Cleveland has only scored more than 20 points in one game all season. Their running back carousel and ineffective quarterbacking has led to yet another sub-par season. There are only two games this week with no real playoff implications riding on them, this is one.
Dan’s Pick: Cardinals
NYJ (8-5) @ Phi (5-8) Sun. 12/18 11:15 a.m.
Gang Green has control of their own destiny as they are in sole possession of the last wild cared. Philly has about a 0.001% chance to still make it to the postseason but they need this (and every) win here. There are an awful lot of elite type players running around the field in this game and when the talent is there its usually fun to watch.
Dan’s Pick: Jets
NE (10-3) @ Den (8-5) Sun. 12/18 11:15 a.m.
During the reign of Tim Tebow in Denver I’ve picked the Broncos exactly one time to win. Of course during that time they’ve gone 7-1. The thing is, despite my better judgement, I’m going to pick against him again here! The New England defense is shaky at best but their offense is elite. Denver relies on staying in games by limiting opponents’ outputs so Tebow can come back in the fourth quarter. They’ll have their hands full here.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
Bal (10-3) @ SD (6-7) Sun. 12/18 3:20 p.m.
The Ravens are battling for the #1 seed in the conference while the Bolts are fighting for their playoff lives. San Diego has scored 75 points in their last two games as their offense finally (maybe a bit too late) seems to be clicking. Baltimore still has an elite defense and should have their heart and soul leader, Ray Lewis, back for this game. The Chargers have been too unpredictable all season to pick for an upset win in this one.
Dan’s Pick: Ravens
Pit (10-3) @ SF (10-3) Mon. 12/19 3:30 p.m.
Finally another good MNF matchup. San Fran currently owns the tiebreaker over New Orleans for the #2 seed in the NFC. Pittsburgh is tied for the division lead with the Ravens but two of their three losses this season came to Baltimore. This game has huge implications for both teams. They both still have a legitimate chance for a first round bye. Elite D v. Elite D. I’ll go with the experienced bunch.
Dan’s Pick: Steelers
Dan’s NFL Predictions — Week 14
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend, Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Last week I was 10-6 in my picks. Here are your week 14 NFL matchups and my picks for each game.
Cle (4-8) @ Pit (9-3) Thu. 12/8 3:20 p.m.
Usually when the #30 ranked offense plays the #1 ranked defense it doesn’t fair too well for the prior. Pittsburgh is scorching hot right now having won seven of their last eight. Cleveland has lost its last two to the other division members (Bal & Cin). Peyton Hillis is banged up but will probably play and it seems Colt McCoy’s sprained knee won’t cause him to miss any time. This should be in the bag for Pittsburgh.
Dan’s Pick: Steelers
TB (4-8) @ Jac (3-9) Sun. 12/11 8:00 a.m.
Not too much exciting happening in this one. The Jags rely on a good defense to stay in games because they have the worst yardage and second worst scoring offense in the league. The Bucs are a major disappointment this year and this might be the game for them to start to save a little face.
Dan’s Pick: Buccaneers
Hou (9-3) @ Cin (7-5) Sun. 12/11 8:00 a.m.
The second half of the Bengals schedule includes Pittsburgh twice, Baltimore twice and these Texans. Houston is one of four AFC teams with a 9-3 record, they look locked for the playoffs and want a #1 or 2 seed to secure a bye. The injury bug has bitten them hard however and that road will be a tough one to navigate. I give the Texans a big nod if Andre Johnson plays (he’s currently questionable).
Dans Pick: Texans
Min (2-10) @ Det (7-5) Sun. 12/11 8:00 a.m.
Currently the Lions find themselves out of the playoff picture and a righting of the ship is an order in Detroit. Minnesota has played terribly just about all season and their best player is still banged up. If Adrian Peterson does play he could wreak havoc against the Lions incomplete D-line. I know I say this a lot but Detroit can’t afford to lose any games to bad teams at this juncture.
Dan’s Pick: Lions
NE (9-3) @ Was (4-8) Sun. 12/11 8:00 a.m.
Of the four 9-3 teams in the AFC, the Pats seem to have the best shot to run the table given the strength (or lack thereof) of their remaining schedule. It started last week with Indy and continues right along here with the Skins who have lost seven of their last eight (including an impressive six game streak during which they scored all of 77 points). Tom Brady is one of three quarterbacks threatening Dan Marino’s single season passing record.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
KC (5-7) @ NYJ (7-5) Sun. 12/11 8:00 a.m.
35. That’s how many points the Chiefs have scored over their last five games combined! Tyler Palko actually didn’t throw three picks last game and KC managed, somehow, to win a game. The Jets are battling four other teams for the last wildcard spot. They have an elite defense that could cause problems all day for the lackluster Chief offense.
Dan’s Pick: Jets
Atl (7-5) @ Car (4-8) Sun. 12/11 8:00 a.m.
Sitting at 7-5 actually isn’t too bad for the Falcons. Tied with them are the injury ridden Bears and the undisciplined Lions and they’re all fighting for the two wildcard spots. Atlanta could’ve really helped their cause last week but their offense decided to take a game off and they lost to the banged up Texans. Carolina can put up points in bunches but that defense is the clear Achilles’ heel.
Dan’s Pick: Falcons
Phi (4-8) @ Mia (4-8) Sun. 12/4 8:00 a.m.
Getting Michael Vick back for the last four games might make for some better play out of Philly but their playoff chances are about as dead as can be. Same goes for Miami minus the Vick thing! The Phins have won four of their last five and actually seem to be clicking as a team. Too bad they waited till halfway through the season to start playing well. The Eagles would like something positive to come out of this season (I think) and that would include a win here.
Dan’s Pick: Eagles
NO (9-3) @ Ten (7-5) Sun. 12/11 8:00 a.m.
A solid season from Matt Hasselbeck and a recent resurgence by Chris Johnson has quietly kept Tennessee in the thick of the playoff hunt. The Saints are in hot pursuit of the 49ers for the #2 seed in the NFC. These are two completely different offensive schemes matching up here. If CJ can get the run game going and the Titans can control the clock this could be a better game than some would expect.
Dan’s Pick: Saints
Ind (0-12) @ Bal (9-3) Sun. 12/11 8:00 a.m.
I kind of feel bad picking against the Colts every week, but they’re just pathetic. Baltimore has a decent shot at homefield advantage throughout the playoffs but they won’t if they lose this one. Ray Rice could have a field day running against the 30th ranked rush D of Indy.
Dan’s Pick: Ravens
Chi (7-5) @ Den (7-5) Sun. 12/11 11:05 a.m.
Will the Tebow train keep on rollin’? The Broncos are currently tied for first place in their division and with the Raiders playing the Packers this weekend they could be in line for sole possession of first. Chicago has lost it’s last two games and is seriously feeling their key injuries (Forte, Cutler). The Bears need to get back on track if they want to stay in the playoff picture.
Dan’s Pick: Bears
SF (10-2) @ Ari (5-7) Sun. 12/11 11:05 a.m.
A few weeks ago this seemed like it would be a cake walk for the Niners. Arizona has won it’s last two games however and can sometimes churn out decent games. San Fran is looking to stay ahead of the Saints for the #2 seed in the NFC and a first round bye. The 49ers don’t rely on their offense too often, but with their defense playing at an elite level they don’t need to.
Dan’s Pick: 49ers
Buf (5-7) @ SD (5-7) Sun. 12/11 11:15 a.m.
The Chargers finally snapped their six game losing streak last week with an absolute shellacking of the Jags. Phillip Rivers looked to be in 2010 form throwing for three touchdowns and no picks. The Bills have lost five in a row and are all but dead in the playoff race. San Diego still has a prayer for the playoffs because of the division they’re in.
Dan’s Pick: Chargers
Oak (7-5) @ GB (12-0) Sun. 12/11 11:15 a.m.
Da Raidaaas are currently tied for first in the AFC West. Unfortunately for them they play the Packers who haven’t lost a game in almost a full calender year! Aaron Rodgers had his lowest rated game of the season last week and still threw for 4 touchdowns and 369 yards. I would pick the Packers over anybody right now, Oakland included.
Dan’s Pick: Packers
NYG (6-6) @ Dal (7-5) Sun. 12/11 3:20 p.m.
If this game were being played at Metlife Stadium I’d take the Giants without too much hesitation. It is not however so this pick becomes a bit more complicated. The G-men defense has given up 49 and 38 points the last two weeks respectively. The Eli to Cruz/Nicks connection is a major force to be reckoned with. Dallas had a straight up bad game last week in a loss to Arizona but they’ll have Miles Austin back after missing four games with a hammy issue.
Dan’s Pick: Giants
StL (2-10) @ Sea (5-7) Mon. 12/12 3:30 p.m.
Apparently the schedule-makers decided nobody cared about this Monday. But seriously, in all my infinite wisdom I thought the Rams were actually going to be good this year. If 3-13 is good then I was spot on! The Seahawks have had some real good games this year and have been an all around better team than has St. Louis.
Dan’s Pick: Seahawks
Dan’s NFL Predictions — Week 13
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend, Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Last week I was 12-4 in my picks. Here are your week 13 NFL matchups and my picks for each game.
Phi (4-7) @ Sea (4-7) Thu. 12/1 3:20 p.m.
Before the season this game was viewed as an easy win for Philly on their way to a high playoff seed. Now they find they have the same record as the Seahawks and making the playoffs is just about impossible. Seattle has won two of their last three while Philadelphia has lost three of their last four. Vick and Maclin are each already ruled out for this game and Philly might be without McCoy and Asomugha as well. Even with all those injuries, Seattle still has less talent.
Dan’s Pick: Eagles
Oak (7-4) @ Mia (3-8) Sun. 12/4 8:00 a.m.
Dallas put an end to Miami’s nice three game win streak last week. Raider nation on the other hand had an impressive win against the red hot, albeit banged up Bears. Carson Palmer is quickly getting back to his old form almost seemlessly and Michael Bush is filling in for Run DMC better than anyone could’ve expected. The Raiders haven’t lost in four weeks and with Green Bay looming they could really use this win to just about lock up the division.
Dan’s Pick: Raiders
Ten (6-5) @ Buf (5-6) Sun. 12/4 8:00 a.m.
Damn November. The Bills managed an 0-4 record this past month. Chris Johnson has rushed for 333 yards the past three weeks (including a 13 yard performance against ATL two weeks ago!), and is finally showing some positive signs that he is still an elite runner. Buffalo actually played a nice game last week against the Jets, Stevie Johnson’s TD dance aside. Tennessee has a shot at the playoffs but every game from here on out is essentially a must win.
Dans Pick: Titans
KC (4-7) @ Chi (7-4) Sun. 12/4 8:00 a.m.
Tyler Palko and Caleb Hanie aren’t exactly A-list names. They are, however, the starting quarterbacks in this matchup. Chicago can’t afford to lose any easy games in the tight NFC playoff race. The Chiefs’ playoff chances are practically nil but on any given day anyone can win.
Dan’s Pick: Bears
Den (6-5) @ Min (2-9) Sun. 12/4 8:00 a.m.
The Tim Tebow led Broncos (along with the Bengals) are easily the Cinderella team of the season. If the season ended today they’d miss the playoffs by one game and they’re hungry to change that. Minnesota has been devastated by questions at quarterback and injury. Without AP they’re a pretty mediocre team. Tebow usually doesn’t do anything until the final quarter so if it’s close late it could be a fun one to watch.
Dan’s Pick: Broncos
NYJ (6-5) @ Was (4-7) Sun. 12/4 8:00 a.m.
Washington and Buffalo have proved that a hot start means nothing. The Skins finally won a game last week against Seattle after losing six straight. Just like the Broncos above, the Jets are currently one game out of a playoff spot. After making the AFC Championship game each of the last two seasons, Gang Green wants in the playoffs, and Washington might be hard pressed to stop their mission.
Dan’s Pick: Jets
Cin (7-4) @ Pit (8-3) Sun. 12/4 8:00 a.m.
If Dandy Andy Dalton can lead Cincinnati to the playoffs, he just might win Offensive ROY. As of right now, they’re in but, and this is a biggy, they have the Steelers here and the Ravens in week 17. Pittsburgh sports an 8-3 record, beat these Bengals three weeks ago, and have only lost once since week four.
Dan’s Pick: Steelers
Atl (7-4) @ Hou (8-3) Sun. 12/4 8:00 a.m.
Man oh man do I wish Matt Schaub wasn’t hurt. This game would’ve been a great clash between two great offenses. Without Schaub however, the Texans have a very one dimensional offense. Houston is #3 in the league as far as rushing ypg but, Atlanta boasts the #2 rush defense. The quarterback is the single most important position in all of sports, and Matt Ryan is a bit of a safer bet than T.J. Yates.
Dan’s Pick: Falcons
Car (3-8) @ TB (4-7) Sun. 12/4 8:00 a.m.
At one point this season, the Bucs had a 4-2 record and were looking like NFC contenders. This is no longer the case. Five game losing streaks have a tendency of putting a damper on seasons in the NFL. Carolina beat Indy last week and look to form any kind of a winning streak. Last time they won two in a row was the end of the ‘09 season! Tampa looks to right their ship and try to salvage a little respect.
Dan’s Pick: Buccaneers
Ind (0-11) @ NE (8-3) Sun. 12/4 8:00 a.m.
The best rivalry over the past decade should be a laugher here. The Patriots have scored 37, 34 and 38 points over that last three games. Tom Brady is a surgeon and the Indy defense is absolutely atrocious. This would be the upset of the year if the Colts could pull this one out.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
Bal (8-3) @ Cle (4-7) Sun. 12/4 11:05 a.m.
There are four teams in the AFC with 8-3 records and they all want home field advantage in the playoffs. The Ravens have some weird losses this year and look to avoid one of those flukes here against the Browns. Both teams have solid defenses but only one has a good offense. Cleveland is #1 against the pass but #29 against the run. Look for Ray Rice to pound the ball all day.
Dan’s Pick: Ravens
Dal (7-4) @ Ari (4-7) Sun. 12/4 11:15 a.m.
Under the guidance of John Skelton, the Cardinals have won three of their last four games. Kevin Kolb might be back for this game. Either way, who cares? America’s Team has won five in a row and are as hot as anyone in football. Tony Romo is playing at an elite level right now and Arizona probably won’t be the team to slow him and the ‘Boys down.
Dan’s Pick: Cowboys
GB (11-0) @ NYG (6-5) Sun. 12/4 11:15 a.m.
“Backs against the wall” is a phrase I’ve heard a lot of recently regarding the Giants. Currently one game behind in the playoff hunt, New York doesn’t have much room for error. Green Bay hasn’t lost a game since 2010. Despite their lack of a traditional (or any) run game, the Packers lead the NFL in scoring. They’re just too hot to pick against.
Dan’s Pick: Packers
StL (2-9) @ SF (9-2) Sun. 12/4 11:15 a.m.
Despite losing on Thanksgiving, the 49ers can still clinch the NFC West with a win here and ¼ of the season still left to play. San Fran’s defense is really good and their offense is pretty good. St. Louis does nothing well, they stink.
Dan’s Pick: 49ers
Det (7-4) @ NO (8-3) Sun. 12/4 3:20 p.m.
The Saints are one game ahead of Atlanta for the division and one game behind San Francisco for the #2 seed in the NFC. They just put up 49 points against a very talented Giants defense on Monday and their elite offense is firing on all cylinders. Detroit will be without the services of their All Pro DT Ndamukong Suh in this one because of his two game suspension. The Lions are just 2-4 since their week 6 loss to the 49ers.
Dan’s Pick: Saints
SD (4-7) @ Jac (3-8) Mon. 12/5 3:30 p.m.
Philip Rivers is well on his way to his fourth consecutive 4000 yard season. The catch here is that he’s already thrown 17 interceptions this season. Fortunately for the Chargers, you only need to score about 5 points all game to beat the Jaguars. With their offense, its amazing that the Jags have actually won three games!
Dan’s Pick: Chargers
Dan’s NFL Predictions — Week 12
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend, Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Last week I was 11-3 in my picks. Here are your week 12 NFL matchups and my picks for each game.
GB (10-0) @ Det (7-3) Thu. 11/24 7:30 a.m.
Thanksgiving will be started off properly with this, the first of many fun games to watch this week. Aaron Rodgers leads the undefeated Packers into the Lions den against a Detroit team that put up 49 points last week, thanks in large part to Matthew Stafford’s five touchdown passes. Despite leading the NFL in TD receptions, Calvin Johnson didn’t catch a single one last week. Two elite offenses take on two under-performing defenses here. Expect a LOT of points.
Dan’s Pick: Packers
Mia (3-7) @ Dal (6-4) Thu. 11/24 11:15 a.m.
Both the ‘Boys and the ‘Fins come into this one riding three game winning streaks. The difference being, Dallas has worked into first place in their division and Miami is still in last place in their division. Tony Romo looks to keep his his good season going and to maintain the Cowboys’ lead in division.
Dan’s Pick: Cowboys
SF (9-1) @ Bal (7-3) Thu. 11/24 3:20 p.m.
San Fran can shut down the run but not the pass, Baltimore is a little more even against both. These are two of the most complete, well rounded teams in the league, and this game should prove as much. The Ravens have more potential for explosiveness and are in a tight race for the division crown, whereas the Niners are a little more ‘luke warm’ offensively and have no competition for the NFC West crown.
Dans Pick: Ravens
Min (2-8) @ Atl (6-4) Sun. 11/27 8:00 a.m.
Adrian Peterson has a high ankle sprain. Normally with this matchup I’d take Atlanta seven days a week. Now with AP hurt, I’ll take Atlanta seven days a week and twice on Sunday. The entire Minnesota offense is(was) based around Peterson. The Falcons can’t afford to lose easy games in the tight NFC playoff race.
Dan’s Pick: Falcons
Cle (4-6) @ Cin (6-4) Sun. 11/27 8:00 a.m.
The past two weeks have been part of a growing process for the Bengals. They have the unfortunate circumstance of being in the same division as Pittsburgh and Baltimore. That makes this game all that more important. Just like the Falcons above, the Bengals can’t afford to lose easy games. The Browns have only let up more than 250 passing yards once all season but their offense is bad enough to “make up” for that fact!
Dan’s Pick: Bengals
Buf (5-5) @ NYJ (5-5) Sun. 11/27 8:00 a.m.
Three weeks ago the Bills got trounced by the Jets. Two weeks ago I called that game a sign of things to come for Buffalo. They haven’t won a game since. Last Thursday, at home, the Jets got completely upset thanks to the legs of Tim Tebow and have slipped out of playoff contention for now. Trust me, they want back in.
Dan’s Pick: Jets
TB (4-6) @ Ten (5-5) Sun. 11/27 8:00 a.m.
If the season ended today the Bucs would be a full three games out of the final wildcard spot. The Titans would only be one game out. Therefore, Tennessee has a lot more riding on this and all remaining games. Tampa Bay showed some resilience Sunday against the Packers but came up just short. Matt Hasselbeck is a little banged up but should be ready to go by gametime.
Dan’s Pick: Titans
Ari (3-7) @ StL (2-8) Sun. 11/27 8:00 a.m.
This game reminds me a lot of last week’s game between St. Louis and Seattle – it means nothing. Neither has a good shot at getting Andrew Luck in the draft (thank you Colts), and neither has a prayer of making the playoffs. Coin flip here, I’ll go with the home team.
Dan’s Pick: Rams
Hou (7-3) @ Jac (3-7) Sun. 11/27 8:00 a.m.
Matt Schaub is probably out for the season which means Matt Leinart is the starting quarterback for the Texans. Fortunately for them, their running game is exceptional and they’re playing the Jags! Jacksonville does boast the #3 overall defense but Houston trumps that with the #1 overall defense in the league.
Dan’s Pick: Texans
Car (2-8) @ Ind (0-10) Sun. 11/27 8:00 a.m.
Cam Newton is an all around weapon. His combination of arm strength and running ability is becoming more cohesive with each game he plays. Curtis Painter has led the Colts to 27 whole points in their last four games combined. They’re just terrible and haven’t shown any signs of getting better any time soon.
Dan’s Pick: Panthers
Was (3-7) @ Sea (4-6) Sun. 11/27 11:05 a.m.
Seattle has a good chance here to extend their season long winning streak to three games. Last week they beat up on the Rams and the week before they surprised the Ravens. The Redskins are currently riding a six game losing streak. Such a promising start to the season down the toilet. The 12th man of Seattle should help the Seahawks take this one down.
Dan’s Pick: Seahawks
Chi (7-3) @ Oak (6-4) Sun. 11/27 11:05 a.m.
Aside from the Packers and the 49ers, you’d be hard pressed to find a hotter team than the Bears. That is, until they lost Jay Cutler for the foreseeable future with a broken right hand. Caleb Hanie will step in as the starter and try to keep their hot streak going. This game means a lot for both teams though. The Raiders are in first place in the AFC West, clinging to a one game lead over the Broncos. Look for the veteran Bears defense to step up big.
Dan’s Pick: Bears
NE (7-3) @ Phi (4-6) Sun. 11/27 11:15 a.m.
Philly had a really nice win last week against the Giants. That pretty much saved their season. Unfortunately for them though, they have to face the red hot Patriots this week. Tom Brady has an easiness about him that makes quarterbacking in the NFL seem easy. If the season ended today the Pats would get homefield advantage through the playoffs. They want to cement that.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
Den (5-5) @ SD (4-6) Sun. 11/27 11:15 a.m.
Tim Tebow is now 4-1 as a starter this season. The guy can’t pass in the NFL but he’s shown a knack for winning! The Chargers find themselves two games behind the Raiders for the division lead so that’s still a possibility but probably not if they lose this one. Phillip Rivers used to be elite, if he can show any signs of his former self in this one then the Bolts have a good chance of winning.
Dan’s Pick: Chargers
Pit (7-3) @ KC (4-6) Sun. 11/27 3:20 p.m.
Big Ben has a broken thumb on his throwing hand. If I were a Steeler fan I would’ve been concerned for this upcoming game until watching the Monday night game between these Chiefs and the Pats. Tyler Palko is starting under center again for KC which is a scary thought going against this Pittsburgh defense. He threw no touchdowns and got picked off three times against New England and their defense is atrocious!
Dan’s Pick: Steelers
NYG (6-4) @ NO (7-3) Mon. 11/28 3:30 p.m.
This week’s games start off with a bang and end with a bang. The Giants lost a heart breaker last week to the Eagles to take them out of sole possession of first place in the NFC East. The Saints have won two division games in a row coming into this one and find themselves with a one game lead in the NFC South. If this game were in New Jersey I’d pick the G-men, but it’s not.
Dan’s Pick: Saints
Dan’s NFL Predictions — Week 11
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend, Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Last week I was 8-8 in my picks. Embarrassing I know! Here are you week 11 matchups and my pick for each game.
NYJ (5-4) @ Den (4-5) Thu. 11/17 3:20 p.m.
How an NFL team attempts eight passes all game and wins is a mystery. How they only complete two of those eight passes and still win is up there with ‘who shot Kennedy’! Denver is only one game back in their tight division hunt. The Jets got pummeled by New England Sunday and looked pretty bad all game. The Broncos lost both of their top two running backs last week. Gang Green has a chance to bounce back in a big way.
Dan’s Pick: Jets
Ten (5-4) @ Atl (5-4) Sun. 11/20 8:00 a.m.
Despite a good game (130 rushing yards) from Chris Johnson, the Titans still have the fewest rushing yards in the league. The Falcons lost a heart-breaker thanks to questionable play calling by John Fox in OT against the division rival Saints on Sunday. These are about as different as teams can get and still have the same record. Atlanta has explosiveness and playmakers all over the field while Tennessee has none!
Dan’s Pick: Falcons
Cin (6-3) @ Bal (6-3) Sun. 11/20 8:00 a.m.
All three of Baltimore’s losses have come to mediocre-at-best teams and its baffling. Joe Flacco has the ability to look like Joe Montana at times but also shows flashes of JaMarcus Russell. The Bengals hung tough in a close loss to the strong Steelers last week, despite their youth. Andy Dalton is proving himself to be a mature game manager. I want to pick Cincy because I want to root for them but the Ravens just have too much talent on both sides of the ball.
Dan’s Pick: Ravens
Jac (3-6) @ Cle (3-6) Sun. 11/20 8:00 a.m.
This exciting matchup (psych!) of 3-6 teams features two of the four worst scoring offenses in the league. The Browns let Josh Cribbs line up in the backfield on Sunday, that’s how desperate their running game is. MJD is the lone bright spot for the dismall Jags. I guess I’ll go with the home team.
Dan’s Pick: Browns
Car (2-7) @ Det (6-3) Sun. 11/20 8:00 a.m.
Two #1 overall picks face off at quarterback in this one. And each has a top 5 wide receiver in their arsenal of weapons. There could be a lot of high flying offense here as both defenses have looked shaky of late. Cam Newton has shown a ton of talent on the field but hasn’t quite figured out how to win yet. The Lions need a bounce back after a bad loss to the division rival Bears.
Dan’s Pick: Lions
TB (4-5) @ GB (9-0) Sun. 11/20 8:00 a.m.
The Bucs have lost 4 of their last 5 contests, and with each loss their playoff hopes become slimmer. Josh Freeman has thrown 13 interceptions in nine games this season after only six all last season. The Packers D had their best game of the season on Monday against the Vikings. Aaron Rodgers is putting up video game numbers and this is a battered Bucs defense.
Dan’s Pick: Packers
Buf (5-4) @ Mia (2-7) Sun. 11/20 8:00 a.m.
Matt Moore and the Phins have won two games in a row. Ryan Fitz and the Bills have lost two straight. Buffalo’s early season heroics are in danger of going for naught unless they can right the ship. This is just about a “must win” game for the Bills as they face the tough Jets again next week. Miami is playing well, but games aren’t quite as desperate for them as for the Bills.
Dan’s Pick: Bills
Oak (5-4) @ Min (2-7) Sun. 11/20 8:00 a.m.
Carson Palmer had his best game of the season and Michael Bush filled in more than adequately for Run DMC in a good win for the Raiders over the Chargers last Thursday. The Vikings couldn’t get Adrian Peterson going against the Packers and got smoked 45-7. Oakland has a one game lead in their division and they want to keep that lead.
Dan’s Pick: Raiders
Dal (5-4) @ Was (3-6) Sun. 11/20 8:00 a.m.
Tony Romo had three touchdown passes in the Cowboys route of the Bills last week. He also only had three incompletions. That’s an elite game. The Boys might get Felix Jones back from injury. Washington hasn’t won a game since early October and have looked bad along the way. Look for more elite numbers from the Dallas offense.
Dan’s Pick: Cowboys
Sea (3-6) @ StL (2-7) Sun. 11/20 11:05 a.m.
Two of the Seahawks wins this year are against the Giants and the Ravens (how?!). That being said, Seattle still sports a 3-6 record, which is good for second place in the division, but overall pretty bad. In nine games so far, the Rams have scored more than 13 points exactly twice (and once was 16). This game literally means nothing.
Dan’s Pick: Seahawks
Ari (3-6) @ SF (8-1) Sun. 11/20 11:05 a.m.
San Fran comes into this game seeking their eighth win in a row. Last week they made a statement and beat the Giants in a clash of NFC powerhouses. Larry Fitzgerald proved why he was an elite receiver last week, having a monster game against the very talented Eagles. The Niners should be able to extend their streak in this one.
Dan’s Pick: 49ers
SD (4-5) @ Chi (6-3) Sun. 11/20 11:15 a.m.
Last week the Bears manhandled the Lions in an NFC North showdown. They bested Detroit in every aspect of the game. The Bolts fell out of first place to the Raiders last Thursday and are reeling. This has the makings of a really fun game to watch and Phillip Rivers has the ability to win games with his arm alone. Chicago is on a roll though.
Dan’s Pick: Bears
Phi (3-6) @ NYG (6-3) Sun. 11/20 3:20 p.m.
The Eagles come into this game having just lost to the Cardinals (ha!) and getting the news that Mike Vick has broken ribs. Eli Manning tried his damndest for a comeback but came up just short against the 49ers. Philly is practically out of the playoff picture and the G-men are looking to keep control of the NFC East.
Dan’s Pick: Giants
KC (4-5) @ NE (6-3) Mon. 11/21 3:30 p.m.
Tim Tebow completed two (yes, 2) passes all game and still beat the Chiefs last week. Oh yeah, and Matt Cassel broke his throwing hand, leaving Tyler Palko with the responsibility of scoring points and beating Tom Brady and the Pats. Yeah…good luck with that Tyler.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
Dan’s NFL predictions — Week 10
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend, Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Last week I was 8-6 in my picks. Here are your week 10 NFL matchups and my picks for each game.
Oak (4-4) @ SD (4-4) Thu. 11/10 3:20 p.m.
Thursday Night Football kicks off with this AFC West showdown. Despite Carson Palmer’s first solid game in silver and black, the Raiders lost a bad game to the Broncos on Sunday. The Bolts made a valiant comeback effort but couldn’t overcome Rivers’ two pick sixes and the Packer offense. First place hangs in the balance.
Dan’s Pick: Chargers
Ari (2-6) @ Phi (3-5) Sun. 11/13 8:00 a.m.
Looking at the Eagles schedule, this would qualify as the third “easy” game they’ve had so far. They won their other two. Patrick Peterson is a natural when it comes to returning punts, winning the Cards game on Sunday with a 99 yard return in OT. Kevin Kolb will likely miss his first return to Philly since being dealt in the off-season. Philly should not have too much trouble against this “easy” team.
Dan’s Pick: Eagles
Ten (4-4) @ Car (2-6) Sun. 11/13 8:00 a.m.
Could it be? Chris Johnson might actually remember he plays football for a living! CJ2K totalled more than 100 yards from scrimmage in the Titans loss to Cincy Sunday. That makes twice this season. Cam Newton has looked really good in his rookie campaign and it goes without argument that his potential ceiling is REALLY high.
Dan’s Pick: Panthers
Was (3-5) @ Mia (1-7) Sun. 11/13 8:00 a.m.
There are roughly 11 people that care about this game. Matt Moore looked more than comfortable Sunday leading the ‘Phins to their first victory on the season. The Skins have scored exactly 11 points combined in their last two games. John Beck and Rex Grossman are the options at quarterback for Washington, blegh.
Dan’s Pick: Dolphins
Jac (2-6) @ Ind (0-9) Sun. 11/13 8:00 a.m.
If 11 people care about the previous game, probably 4 care about this one! How the Jags ever beat the Ravens no one will ever know. They score fewer points than anyone in football, and somehow, the Colts are actually a worse team! I’m going to pick the Colts this one and only time this season (I really don’t know why!).
Dan’s Pick: Colts
Den (3-5) @ KC (4-4) Sun. 11/13 8:00 a.m.
Another huge AFC West battle here. The Broncos, against all odds and oddsmakers, are actually in the thick of things as far as the division is concerned. KC handed the Dolphins their first win last week and couldn’t even muster a touchdown, scoring 3 points all game. Tim Tebow had an impressive outing, confusing the Raiders D all game Sunday. Could be fun but I see the Chiefs bouncing back from a bad loss.
Dan’s Pick: Chiefs
Pit (6-3) @ Cin (6-2) Sun. 11/13 8:00 a.m.
The Cincinnati Bengals are 6-2. Who would’ve believed it?! This game means so much, I can’t even describe it properly. Dandy Andy Dalton hasn’t impressed with his numbers but his game management and poise are certainly enviable. If the Steelers can get their run game going, they should be able to use their experience to pull this one out.
Dan’s Pick: Steelers
Buf (5-3) @ Dal (4-4) Sun. 11/13 8:00 a.m.
Yes, Miles Austin is out for the foreseeable future but, Dallas’ passing game still has plenty of weapons. On Sunday the Bills got shredded by the division rival Jets and I’m calling it now, that’s a sign of things to come. Dez Bryant and Jason Witten are among the most talented at their positions and Romo doesn’t usually have too much trouble delivering them the ball.
Dan’s Pick: Cowboys
NO (6-3) @ Atl (5-3) Sun. 11/13 8:00 a.m.
This is a HUGE game in the ATL. Drew Brees is probably going to throw for 700(!) yards but he’s been a little ‘gun-slingerish’ at times this season. Matty Ice is usually a lock at home which means this one could go either way. My money’s on Brees having a good day.
Dan’s Pick: Saints
StL (1-7) @ Cle (3-5) Sun. 11/13 8:00 a.m.
One of the three 8 a.m. games that really excites no one. It’s like the schedule-makers got together and picked this week to play the worst six teams against each other! But seriously. Sam Bradford is expected back for this game which is good news (I guess) for the Rams. Both teams are seriously banged up though. S-Jax seems like a good bet considering he’s easily the scariest guy on the field.
Dan’s Pick: Rams
Hou (6-3) @ TB (4-4) Sun. 11/13 8:00 a.m.
I was getting on the Texans when Andre Johnson would miss games. This won’t happen again now that they’re ground game is running (pun absolutely intended) so well! Foster and Tate combined for more than 260 rushing yards last week. The Buccos are just too hit or miss to ever pick. I’ll take that nasty run game all day.
Dan’s Pick: Texans
Bal (6-2) @ Sea (2-6) Sun. 11/13 11:05 a.m.
The only advantage that Seattle has here is the fact that they’re home. The 12th man, as the crowd is called, has a history of being loud and disruptive. Unfortunately it doesn’t become too much of a factor when the talent levels are so skewed. Baltimore will win this game and stay at least tied for first in they’re division.
Dan’s Pick: Ravens
Det (6-2) @ Chi (5-3) Sun. 11/13 11:15 a.m.
Not many people would choose the word ‘gritty’ to describe Jay Cutler. He tried to change that with his hard fought fourth quarter win over the Eagles Monday. Detroit is coming off their bye and recently signed their old running back Kevin Smith to fill in at running back where every other Lion is injured. Megatron has been quiet of late, look for him to explode and be the beast that he his.
Dan’s Pick: Lions
NYG (6-2) @ SF (7-1) Sun. 11/13 11:15 a.m.
As I stated last week, the G-men have a scary schedule from here on out. Of course Easy E proved me wrong and beat the Patriots in the first of their many remaining tough games. San Fran sports a 7-1 record (good for second best in the league) and haven’t lost since week 2. Every game from here on out for the Giants is critical since they have such tough opponents.
Dan’s Pick: Giants
NE (5-3) @ NYJ (5-3) Sun. 11/13 3:20 p.m.
The Pats have lost two straight to quality teams (Pit, NYG), here they face a third. The Jets lit up Buffalo on Sunday with a strong showing on both sides of the ball. One is hot, the other is desperate. I’m siding with the experience and talent at qb.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
Min (2-6) @ GB (8-0) Mon. 11/14 3:30 p.m.
Minnesota had a nice win against the Panthers before the bye, but the week prior they lost to these same Packers 33-27. Green Bay continued their quest for perfection against the Chargers Sunday winning in an offensive showdown. Aaron Rodgers is simply the best player in football.
Dan’s Pick: Packers
Dan’s NFL predictions — Week 9
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend, Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Last week I was 9-4 in my picks. Here are your week 9 NFL matchups and my picks for each game.
Mia (0-7) @ KC (4-3) Sun. 11/6 7:00 a.m.
Super clutch play by Eli Manning and the G-men is the only reason the ‘Phins missed out on their first win of the year. The Chiefs have made a resurgence, winning four games in a row and beating the division rival Chargers in overtime on Sunday. Miami should still be winless and right in the Andrew Luck Sweepstakes after this game.
Dan’s Pick: Chiefs
Sea (2-5) @ Dal (3-4) Sun. 11/6 7:00 a.m.
Dallas looked awful in their blowout loss to division rival Philly on Sunday. The ‘Boys couldn’t get their talented offense rolling in easily their worst showing of the year. Seattle got shellacked again by the Bengals and also didn’t look impressive, though no one is expecting much from them. Tony Romo & Co. should have an easier time against the Hawks than they did against the Eagles stacked secondary.
Dan’s Pick: Cowboys
NYJ (4-3) @ Buf (5-2) Sun. 11/6 7:00 a.m.
At the beginning of the season this was looked upon as an easy win for the New York football Jets. That is certainly not the case anymore. Buffalo continued their Cindarella season last week, pitching a shutout against the hapless Redskins. Call me crazy, but I still believe that the Jets D is elite, and can handle the Bills better than expected offense.
Dan’s Pick: Jets
Cle (3-4) @ Hou (5-3) Sun. 11/6 7:00 a.m.
Houston is off to the best start in franchise history. With the Cleveland running game completely up in the air and Andre Johnson day-to-day, I either like the Texans (if Johnson sits) or love them (if he plays) in this game.
Dan’s Pick: Texans
Atl (4-3) @ Ind (0-8) Sun. 11/6 7:00 a.m.
The Falcons are looking to come out of their bye week with a good start. No better team to do it against than Indy! Let’s see, is Peyton Manning back? Nope.
Dan’s Pick: Falcons
SF (6-1) @ Was (3-4) Sun. 11/6 7:00 a.m.
The Redskins will have some key defensive players back this week, but that’s not going to help their offense which got shutout Sunday against the Bills. San Fran looks to maintain their elite record and shouldn’t have too much issue doing so.
Dan’s Pick: 49ers
TB (4-3) @ NO (5-3) Sun. 11/6 7:00 a.m.
Drew Brees had an ugly game against the Rams last week throwing two picks to only one touchdown. The Saints stumble just put the NFC South division crown up for grabs. The Bucs are coming off their bye with a healthy LeGarrette Blount leading the way. This game has a lot of implications riding on it.
Dan’s Pick: Saints
Cin (5-2) @ Ten (4-3) Sun. 11/6 10:05 a.m.
Yes, the Titans won last week (and somehow still are above .500) but, it was against the NCAA-level Colts and there’s now a running back controversy. The Bengals, led by rookies Andy Dalton and AJ Green, is quietly only half a game out of first place in the tough AFC North. This has the #2 rush defense (Cincy) up against the #32 rush offense (Tennessee), which doesn’t look good for the latter.
Dan’s Pick: Bengals
Den (2-5) @ Oak (4-3) Sun. 11/6 10:05 a.m.
After an illustrious college career at Florida, the critics said Tim Tebow wasn’t an NFL-caliber quarterback. Turns out they might be right. With two weeks to study and practice his new offense, Carson Palmer should have a little more success this week than his first showing. The Raiders also signed TJ Houshmandzadeh which should give Palmer an extra layer of comfort and familiarity.
Dan’s Pick: Raiders
NYG (5-2) @ NE (5-2) Sun. 11/6 10:15 a.m.
The G-men are off to a hot start and they need it. Their schedule from here on out (NE, SF, Phi 2x, Dal 2x, GB, NO, NYJ, Was) is daunting to say the least. The Tom Brady led Patriots rarely lose two games in a row, and after a hard fought loss to Pittsburgh, I don’t see them falling to the Giants.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
GB (7-0) @ SD (4-3) Sun. 11/6 10:15 a.m.
The Bolts find themselves in a threeway tie for their division lead. The Chiefs and Raiders each have sub-par opponents this week so this game is very important for San Diego. Green Bay hasn’t had much trouble getting to 7-0 as they lead the NFL in scoring (32.9ppg). The Packers are well rested and coming off their bye so the Chargers’ secondary has its work cut out here.
Dan’s Pick: Packers
StL (1-6) @ Ari (1-6) Sun. 11/6 10:15 a.m.
What a win for the Rams last week! Steven Jackson showed that he still has gas left in the tank as he steamrolled the Saints defense for 160 rushing yards. That being said, they’re still 1-6 and don’t have a chance at the playoffs. Fortunately for the Rams, the Cardinals are also 1-6 and haven’t shown much of anything all season. Kevin Kolb is looking like a bust.
Dan’s Pick: Rams
Bal (5-2) @ Pit (6-2) Sun. 11/6 2:20 p.m.
This has become the new “it” rivalry in the AFC. The Steeler D is coming off they’re most impressive performance of the season after basically shutting down the high flying Patriots offense. The Ravens crushed Pittsburgh in their week one matchup but has shown some serious signs of inconsistency since.
Dan’s Pick: Steelers
Chi (4-3) @ Phi (3-4) Mon. 11/7 2:30 p.m.
Each of these teams has won two in a row and both have looked good in the process. LeSean McCoy and Matt Forte have been two of the top NFC running backs all season. This game is huge as far as the playoff picture is concerned. Mike Vick has the fate of the Eagles (and this game) squarely on his shoulders. If he can remain upright and avoid Chicago’s veteran pass rush, Philly should be able to pull this out.
Dan’s Pick: Eagles
Dan’s NFL predictions — Week 8
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend, Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Last week I was 6-7 in my picks. My weakest showing of the year for sure but such is life! Like the old saying goes, “On any given Sunday, anyone can win.” Here are your week 8 NFL matchups and my picks for each game.
NO (5-2) @ StL (0-6) Sun. 10/30 7:00 a.m.
The Saints scored more points in last week’s dominating win over the Colts (62) than the Rams have scored all season (56)! Unless the Rams build a time machine and go back to 2001, I don’t see any way they can keep up with the deadly efficient New Orleans offense.
Dan’s Pick: Saints
Jac (2-5) @ Hou (4-3) Sun. 10/30 7:00 a.m.
Both teams here are coming off good games. However, the Jags couldn’t even muster a touchdown in their upset victory over the Ravens. Andre Johnson is day to day as of right now and if he could play this week Matt Schaub becomes a much more dangerous passing threat and the Texans’ offense goes from solid to scary.
Dan’s Pick: Texans
Mia (0-6) @ NYG (4-2) Sun. 10/30 7:00 a.m.
The Andrew Luck hunt is still on for the ‘Fins. Miami blew a late eight point lead against the equally unexciting Broncos this past Sunday to remain winless on the season. The G-men are coming off a bye the healthiest they’ve been all season. Justin Tuck is just one of many key players the Giants should have available this week.
Dan’s Pick: Giants
Ari (1-5) @ Bal (4-2) Sun. 10/30 7:00 a.m.
This past Monday the Ravens had a hard time getting anything going offensively and lost to the lackluster Jaguars. Here they face off against a horrific Cardinals team, and I don’t foresee two bad losses in a row. Look for Ray Rice and company to bounce back and not have too much difficulty with the Cards.
Dan’s Pick: Ravens
Ind (0-7) @ Ten (3-3) Sun. 10/30 7:00 a.m.
Peyton Manning means more to the Colts than any other professional athlete means to their respective team. They won at least 12 games every year from 2003-’09 under Manning. Regardless, he’s still not available and that means the Colts are still really really bad. The Titans have done nothing to warrant them being heavy favorites against anyone, but Indy stinks.
Dan’s Pick: Titans
Min (1-6) @ Car (2-5) Sun. 10/30 7:00 a.m.
This is a more intriguing game that the records suggest. Each team is quarterbacked by a first round rookie, with Cam Newton having started all season and Christian Ponder starting his second game of the year. AP put up AP numbers last week against the Packers and almost led the Vikes to a huge upset. Cam the Man rushed for his seventh touchdown of the year in the Panthers solid win over the Skins.
Dan’s Pick: Panthers
Det (5-2) @ Den (2-4) Sun. 10/30 10:05 a.m.
Tim Tebow indeed! The second year quarterback led the Broncos in a fourth quarter comeback Sunday. Yes it was against the Dolphins, but Tebow showed poise in the clutch and actually looked decent in the fourth quarter. The Lions offense never got off the ground in London against the Bucs as they lost their second in a row. I don’t think they’ll lose three straight.
Dan’s Pick: Lions
Was (3-3) @ Buf (4-2) Sun. 10/30 10:05 a.m.
John Beck actually had a decent game against the Panthers Sunday, but that should be taken with a grain of salt as he was forced to throw a lot because the Skins were down early and often. The Shanahan backfield merry-go-round will be in full swing again as Tim Hightower went down for the year last week. The Bills should be well rested coming off their bye week and look to keep their Cindarella season going.
Dan’s Pick: Bills
Cin (4-2) @ Sea (2-4) Sun. 10/30 10:15 a.m.
At first glance I thought the Mariners had lost to the Indians but in fact it was the Seahawks coming up short in a 6-3 loss to the Browns. The Bengals will be without Cedric Benson as he serves a one game suspension but the Dalton to Green rookie combo has proven effective so far this season.
Dan’s Pick: Bengals
NE (5-1) @ Pit (5-2) Sun. 10/30 10:15 a.m.
This game has the most potential for excitement as two of the top AFC powerhouses collide in Pittsburgh. The Steelers are as well rounded a team as any in the league and can win any number of ways. The Pats usually just score a LOT and win or lose with the arm of Tom Brady. New England is coming off their bye week and face their toughest test so far. Should be fun to watch.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
Cle (3-3) @ SF (5-1) Sun. 10/30 10:15 a.m.
Frank Gore and the (very much) run-first offense of the 49ers will have a challenge against the staunch run defense of the Browns this week. Cleveland beat the Seahawks 6-3 Sunday in one of the more boring football games in recent history. The Niners should be able to get back to their winning ways without too much issue coming off the bye.
Dan’s Pick: 49ers
Dal (3-3) @ Phi (2-4) Sun. 10/30 2:20 p.m.
Move over Tony Dorsett. Outta my way Emmett Smith. I’m DeMarco Murray, single-game rushing record holder for the Boys! And he’s facing an under-performing Eagles defensive front. There’s a lot of talent flying around both sides of the field for both teams here. If the Cowboys can put some hits on Vick early, look for them to come away winners in this one.
Dan’s Pick: Cowboys
SD (4-2) @ KC (3-3) Mon. 10/31 2:30 p.m.
A nice first half for the Bolts was trumped by a silent second half in a loss to the Jets on Sunday. The Chiefs beat up on the division rival Raiders last week winning easily 28-0. Both were a little fluky in my opinion. Look for Phillip Rivers to have a little more success this week as he’s not facing the scariest secondary in the league.
Dan’s Pick: Chargers
Dan’s NFL predictions — Week 7
Aloha Molokai! My name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend, Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Sorry everyone for the delay on this week’s post, I’m new to this blogging thing! I should have my new picks up each week every Wednesday from now on. Last week I was 11-2 in my picks. Here are your week 7 NFL matchups and my picks for each game.
SD (4-1) @ NYJ (3-3) Sun. 10/23 7:00 a.m.
Phillip Rivers may have his favorite target back this week. Antonio Gates is hoping to play after battling a foot injury the past three games. The Jets snapped their three game skid against the woeful Dolphins with some strong defensive play. The Chargers have weapons everywhere on offense and Darrelle Revis can only cover one guy!
Dan’s Pick: Chargers
Hou (3-3) @ Ten (3-2) Sun. 10/23 7:00 a.m.
After a long holdout well into the preseason, Chris Johnson got paid. What to the Titans get in return? The fewest rushing yards per game in the entire NFL! Fortunately for Tennessee the Texans are extremely banged up right now. Andre Johnson is out again which evens things out a little, but still, absolutely nothing excites me about the Titans.
Dan’s Pick: Texans
Den (1-4) @ Mia (0-5) Sun. 10/23 7:00 a.m.
Matt Moore and Tim Tebow are the starting quarterbacks in this game, yeesh! It does not surprise me in the least that there is a combined one win between these two teams. The Broncos just lost Brandon Lloyd to trade and they’re on the road. Let’s flip a coin for the outcome of this one.
Dans Pick: Dolphins
Chi (3-3) @ TB (4-2) Sun. 10/23 7:00 a.m.
Both of these teams have had major ups and downs this season. The Bucs are coming off their best game of the year in a win over the Saints. Devin Hester proved once again why he’s the best returner ever, with yet another return touchdown. Both teams are battling injuries so this game will come down to turnovers and special teams.
Dan’s Pick: Buccaneers
Atl (3-3) @ Det (5-1) Sun. 10/23 7:00 a.m.
The Falcons practically traded their entire organization away to move up in the draft for Julio Jones, and don’t even have him available this week. This game features two young stud quarterbacks, two elite receivers, and two pretty good defenses. This has potential to be a really fun game to watch.
Dan’s Pick: Lions
Sea (2-3) @ Cle (2-3) Sun. 10/23 7:00 a.m.
Not too much to write about this matchup. The Browns are having contract disputes with Peyton Hillis, though he did play last game. There have been some good showings from the Seahawks (win at NYG), and they have some young explosive players. Tarvaris Jackson has done a lot better than most expected thus far.
Dan’s Pick: Seahawks
Was (3-2) @ Car (1-5) Sun. 10/23 7:00 a.m.
I don’t think anyone really knows what’s going on in Washington. There’s clearly an issue at quarterback, no running back seems to want the starting job, and Chris Cooley just went down for the season. The Panthers have a scary offense led by the veteran Steve Smith’s resurgence, and the three-headed rushing machine of running backs D. Williams and J. Stewart and quarterback Cam Newton.
Dan’s Pick: Panthers
Pit (4-2) @ Ari (1-4) Sun. 10/23 10:05 a.m.
There’s not too much to worry about here. Rashard Mendenhall finally had a good game last week in a win against the Jaguars. As long as the Steelers can establish the run early and often again, they should have this game in the bag. The Cardinals are bad.
Dan’s Pick: Steelers
KC (2-3) @ Oak (4-2) Sun. 10/23 10:05 a.m.
The Raiders have been all over the news with their acquisition of Carson Palmer. Fortunately for them, their’s is a run first offense with Run DMC putting up MVP type numbers. Yes the Chiefs have won two in a row but both were against (at the time) winless teams.
Dan’s Pick: Raiders
GB (6-0) @ Min (1-5) Sun. 10/23 10:15 a.m.
If the season ended today Aaron Rodgers would be MVP. The Vikings aren’t even sure who’s starting at quarterback in this one. Either way, AP is the only real threat for Minnesota. Look for the Pack to have no trouble with the Vikings D.
Dan’s Pick: Packers
StL (0-5) @ Dal (2-3) Sun. 10/23 10:15 a.m.
America’s team has had a real tough schedule so far this season (NYJ, SF, Was, Det, NE) and their record reflects it. The laughingly pathetic Rams have scored four (you read correct, 4) offensive touchdowns all season, and yes, their record also reflects it!
Dan’s Pick: Cowboys
Ind (0-6) @ NO (4-2) Sun. 10/23 2:20 p.m.
Sean Payton literally took one for the team when he suffered a torn meniscus and broken tibia because TE Jimmy Graham was tackled into him last game. Good thing for him, he won’t have to do too much game planning this week because the Colts are hell-bent on getting Andrew Luck in the draft next season. No surprises here.
Dan’s Pick: Saints
Bal (4-1) @ Jac (1-5) Mon. 10/24 2:30 p.m.
Aside from the fluky loss to the Titans in week 2, the Ravens win by an average of 22.5 points. The Jaguars actually played a tough game last week against a good Steelers team, but that probably won’t be enough to beat a really good Ravens team.
Dan’s Pick: Ravens
Dan’s NFL predictions — Week 6
Aloha Molokai! my name is Dan Gardner and I moved to Molokai in July with my girlfriend, Erin Morrison, who got a job as a special education teacher at Kualapu’u Elementary. We’ve both really come to enjoy and appreciate the overall relaxed nature of the island and are happy to call it home.
Each week, my NFL prediction column will give a quick synopsis of each upcoming game, my thoughts about each and then my pick for winner.
Last week I was 9-4 in my picks. Here are your week 6 NFL matchups and my picks for each game.
Car (1-4) @ Atl (2-3) Sun. 10/16 7 a.m.
Falcons gave up almost 400 yards passing last week and Cam the Man has been slingin’ the ball all over the field this season. The Panthers D has been nothing to write home about however as evidenced by the 1-4 record. Look for a high scoring affair but Matty Ice getting back to his home winning ways.
Dan’s Pick: Falcons
Phi (1-4) @ Was (3-1) Sun. 10/16 7 a.m.
It’s worst versus first in the NFC East here. Mike Vick threw four picks Sunday in the Eagles fourth loss of the year. The Skins have shown inconsistent signs of brilliance en route to a good record and are coming off the bye. All that talent in Philly will eventually become cohesive, this might be the week.
Dan’s Pick: Eagles
StL (0-4) @ GB (5-0) Sun. 10/16 7 a.m.
The Rams score 11.5 points per game. The Packers score 34.6 points per game.
Dan’s Pick: Packers
Ind (0-5) @ Cin (3-2) Sun. 10/16 7 a.m.
The Bengals have won two in a row with a couple of big second halves. The Colts on the other hand almost got in the winning column Sunday but blew a 10-point halftime lead to KC losing Joseph Addai in the process. A.J. Green is a scary talent and has proven so with over 400 yards receiving so far.
Dan’s Pick: Bengals
Buf (4-1) @ NYG (3-2) Sun. 10/16 7 a.m.
What can we say about the Bills?? They just keep winning. The Giants on the other hand, well, not so much. The G-men will be looking for blood after a bad loss to a bad Seahawks team but the red-hot Bills don’t show any signs of backing down. This could be a fun game to watch.
Dan’s Pick: Giants
Jac (1-4) @ Pit (3-2) Sun. 10/16 7 a.m.
The Jags scored more than 10 points for only the second time in a loss to the Bengals Sunday. Despite MJD’s efforts, this offense stinks. Big Ben tossed five TDs like he was playing a video game. The Steelers have a lot of banged up guys at RB but the passing game seems just fine.
Dan’s Pick: Steelers
SF (4-1) @ Det (5-0) Sun. 10/16 7 a.m.
Alex Smith doesn’t throw for many yards (193 ypg) but also doesn’t turn the ball over very often (1 int). The Niners absolutely spanked the Bucs last week but — and this is a big ‘but’ — the Lions aren’t the Bucs. The Lions are one of only two undefeated teams for a reason … they’re REALLY good.
Dan’s Pick: Lions
Cle (2-2) @ Oak (3-2) Sun. 10/16 10:05 a.m.
No. 2-ranked rush offense (Oak) against No. 25 ranked rush defense (Cle) is usually not a good sign for the latter. The Raiders had a really nice upset win against the Texans last week and I don’t see the Browns stopping them.
Dan’s Pick: Raiders
Hou (3-2) @ Bal (3-1) Sun. 10/16 10:05 a.m.
The Ravens have looked real good the first quarter of the season with the only hiccup being a week 2 fluke loss to the Titans. They still have an elite D and the O scores almost 30 ppg. Houston practically gave away the game last week to the Raiders and will be without All Pro WR Andre Johnson.
Dan’s Pick: Ravens
NO (4-1) @ TB (3-2) Sun. 10/16 10:15 a.m.
Who Dat?? The Bucs gave up almost 50 points last week against an average-at-best offense. This week they face the Drew Crew which is second in the league in total offense (452 ypg) and fifth in scoring (31.4 ppg).
Dan’s Pick: Saints
Dal (2-2) @ NE (4-1) Sun. 10/16 10:15 a.m.
This is the game I’m most excited to watch. Two of the games best passing offenses pitted against each other’s mediocre defenses! The Boys have Dez Bryant back healthy after the bye week. Look for a lot of scoring but Tom Brady is still Tom Brady.
Dan’s Pick: Patriots
Min (1-4) @ Chi (2-3) Sun. 10/16 2:20 p.m.
Adrian Peterson scored 3 TDs in the first quarter last week as the Vikes manhandled the Cards. The Bears didn’t have quite the same luck against the still undefeated Lions on Monday. Chicago still has a better D than does Minnesota.
Dan’s Pick: Bears
Mia (0-4) @ NYJ (2-3) Mon. 10/17 2:30 p.m.
The Dolphins had their best game of the year Sunday by not losing! Gang Green is on a three-game losing streak although they were all against quality opponents. Look for the Jets to bounce back at home and keep the Fins in the “Andrew Luck Hunt.”
Dan’s Pick: Jets
Good work Dan! Is the “bolded” prediction always going to be the Packers? And I say “Go San Fran!”
Yeah, I’ll probably always pick the Packers to win. This year its justified though!
G-MEN! LETS GO!
Yeah buddy, good win for the New York football Giants.
Pretty good outlooks, I like the Bucs at home surprising some people this weekend even without Blount. I think Washington gives the Eagles another tough game and if they get some confidence they could END…yes end the Eagles season.
GOOOOOD call Al! As far as the Bucs are concerned. The Skins are super bad though so I wasn’t too worried about that one.
Aloha from NJ! Football at 7am, seriously? Guess you gotta get it in early to be able to spend the rest of the day out in the glorious Molokai landscape. Rooting for the Steelers to go all the way. Would Dan ever choose a team over the Packers? That is yet to be determined.
Yes football at 7 a.m. is no picnic but soon daylight savings will be upon us (no observance in HI) and games will start at 8 a.m. Molokai is definitely a beautiful unique place. I don’t know if I could choose anyone over the Pack but in my defense, they have won 12 straight games!
Just wondering: What do Molokaians nosh on while watching their favorite NFL teams? Can’t be pizza and beer at 7am.
Heinekens, poke and menthol cigarettes.
those sure didn’t smell like menthol cigarettes da’ braddahs were smoking when colt & UH was playin’ georgia back in ’07
Dan, your predictions are appreciated!!!! Keep up the column! Want to see more of your predictions!
Thanks for the enthusiasm! I’ll definitely keep this up. New predictions posts should be appearing every Wednesday or so!
Well put, sir! Let’s go ‘Phins!!!!
I know Dandy Andy Luck is on your wishlist but there are a few teams vying for that first overall pick! Matt Moore eh? Ouch!
Mostly agree with everything week 7. Give me the Bears (games in London) and the Falcons.
Dude this is a pretty cool thing you got goin here. If the packers werent so damn good i dont think i could take you seriously but since they are you can get away with always pickin em. Sounds like your having fun in Hawaii
Hawaii’s great bud! Trust me, as a Mets and Rutgers fan its nice to have a good NFL team to root for!
good picks for week 8, but i like the eagles, seahawks, and vikings. just think eagles are due to go on a little run, the seahawks are a great home team and i think the vikings are better than their record. check that bears and falcons prediction i had from week 7. <<<<<—– dirrrrrtttyyyy.
Definitely dirty picks last week kid. I can see any of those games going either way but I have a serious man-crush on Dez Bryant, I think he could be another Megatron. The 12th Man in Seattle may very well be the Seahawks best player. I would agree with the Vikings winning but they’re secondary is in shambles and their best corner just got arrested! Newton to Smith aaaaalllllll day!
Glad I’m working this Sunday, cause I hate missing the Packers play!
8-5 this week – not bad! Looking forward to the Packers on Sunday!
9-4 actually! The Packers-Chargers game should be a fun one to watch. *Fun fact-This will be Aaron Rodgers’ first NFL start in his home state of California.
two in a row for the fins?! yes please!! Sounds good, bud!
Hey Budd…You should have a running total of your wins and losses, that us folks can manipulate. Ya-know: how many Monday night games did you pick right, your win-loss in November, etc.
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Love the smile Budd. You always did love the Navy!
Cruuuuuuz will be doing the salsa for the Lambeau faithful come Sunday! GGGGG-MEN!